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Red47
763221.8
99995.6
85848.2
Blue33
856914.5
912622.1
85858.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions415101001502004733

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7632
Unranked
21.80.0
21.821.8
Auto9.9
Teleop10.3
End1.7
blue by 0.3
9126
Unranked
22.10.0
22.122.1
Auto5.8
Teleop14.7
End1.6
Second
8584
Unranked
8.20.0
8.28.2
Auto3.7
Teleop4.1
End0.5
blue by 6.3
8569
Unranked
14.50.0
14.514.5
Auto6.7
Teleop6.0
End1.9
Third
9999
Unranked
5.60.0
5.65.6
Auto2.0
Teleop2.7
End0.5
blue by 3.1
8585
Unranked
8.70.0
8.78.7
Auto3.2
Teleop4.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody odds39%Melody odds
Ensemble
9%Ensemble odds24%Ensemble odds