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Red34
239315.4
101411.9
23413.5
Blue72
742814.3
402026.4
75166.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4347102030506070803472

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2393
#26
15.40.6
11.310.8
Auto9.4
Teleop4.7
End1.3
blue by 11.0
26.42.8
22.725.4
Auto10.5
Teleop13.7
End2.3
Second
234
#14
13.50.6
17.116.6
Auto2.0
Teleop9.6
End1.8
blue by 0.9
14.32.8
14.217.0
Auto4.0
Teleop7.9
End2.4
Third
1014
#31
11.90.6
10.610.1
Auto5.2
Teleop5.3
End1.4
red by 5.9
7516
#22
6.02.8
5.17.9
Auto3.1
Teleop2.1
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed42%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed