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Red60
80120.0
398417.5
39666.9
Blue29
146617.3
57445.1
63027.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions463702060801006029

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
801
#1
20.01.4
16.918.3
Auto9.6
Teleop7.8
End2.7
red by 2.8
17.30.6
19.418.8
Auto8.8
Teleop5.8
End2.6
Second
17.51.4
15.016.4
Auto3.5
Teleop11.7
End2.3
red by 10.3
6302
#25
7.20.6
8.57.9
Auto2.5
Teleop3.3
End1.4
Third
3966
#29
6.91.4
8.49.8
Auto3.7
Teleop2.2
End0.9
red by 1.8
5744
#33
5.10.6
6.65.9
Auto2.9
Teleop1.7
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsEarned18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed