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Red41
61077.7
500512.4
146617.3
Blue16
31399.3
75166.0
285610.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions362910204050604116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.31.0
13.414.4
Auto8.8
Teleop5.8
End2.6
red by 6.4
2856
#13
10.81.7
9.37.6
Auto5.7
Teleop3.7
End1.4
Second
12.41.0
9.210.2
Auto4.5
Teleop6.6
End1.3
red by 3.1
3139
#15
9.31.7
9.17.4
Auto3.0
Teleop5.8
End0.6
Third
6107
#20
7.71.0
9.210.3
Auto2.0
Teleop4.9
End0.9
red by 1.7
7516
#22
6.01.7
8.87.1
Auto3.1
Teleop2.1
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed