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Red32
500512.4
159213.1
31399.3
Blue52
80120.0
91528.7
5388.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3840102030506070803252

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1592
#12
13.10.7
13.112.4
Auto5.4
Teleop5.5
End2.1
blue by 6.9
801
#1
20.00.4
19.620.0
Auto9.6
Teleop7.8
End2.7
Second
12.40.8
12.111.3
Auto4.5
Teleop6.6
End1.3
red by 3.7
538
#17
8.70.4
7.88.2
Auto4.5
Teleop2.5
End1.7
Third
3139
#15
9.30.7
9.38.7
Auto3.0
Teleop5.8
End0.6
red by 0.6
9152
#23
8.70.4
8.38.7
Auto4.2
Teleop3.6
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed