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Red16
39666.9
63027.2
46309.6
Blue39
5388.7
285610.8
239315.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions283801020506070801639

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4630
#27
9.60.9
10.89.9
Auto6.8
Teleop2.4
End0.4
blue by 5.8
2393
#26
15.40.5
14.715.2
Auto9.4
Teleop4.7
End1.3
Second
6302
#25
7.20.9
8.07.2
Auto2.5
Teleop3.3
End1.4
blue by 3.7
2856
#13
10.80.5
10.210.6
Auto5.7
Teleop3.7
End1.4
Third
3966
#29
6.90.9
7.76.9
Auto3.7
Teleop2.2
End0.9
blue by 1.9
538
#17
8.70.5
8.28.7
Auto4.5
Teleop2.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed