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Red23
239315.4
446217.4
75166.0
Blue49
38247.4
31399.3
398417.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393001001502002503002349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4462
#11
17.41.3
13.111.8
Auto6.5
Teleop8.0
End2.9
blue by 0.1
17.50.2
13.313.1
Auto3.5
Teleop11.7
End2.3
Second
2393
#26
15.41.3
14.112.8
Auto9.4
Teleop4.7
End1.3
red by 6.0
3139
#15
9.30.2
7.47.3
Auto3.0
Teleop5.8
End0.6
Third
7516
#22
6.01.3
7.15.9
Auto3.1
Teleop2.1
End0.9
blue by 1.4
3824
#24
7.40.2
7.87.6
Auto3.5
Teleop1.9
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed