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Red40
38247.4
398417.5
742814.3
Blue57
146617.3
278321.9
384310.8
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4256020801004057

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.50.2
17.717.5
Auto3.5
Teleop11.7
End2.3
blue by 4.4
21.90.2
21.621.8
Auto7.1
Teleop12.3
End2.5
Second
14.30.3
14.614.3
Auto4.0
Teleop7.9
End2.4
blue by 2.9
17.30.2
17.017.2
Auto8.8
Teleop5.8
End2.6
Third
3824
#24
7.40.3
7.77.4
Auto3.5
Teleop1.9
End2.0
blue by 3.4
3843
#16
10.80.2
10.510.6
Auto5.9
Teleop4.2
End0.7