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Red52
38247.4
398417.5
742814.3
Blue48
23413.5
287217.7
314011.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4350102030607080905248

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.50.3
17.617.9
Auto3.5
Teleop11.7
End2.3
blue by 0.2
17.70.1
18.118.2
Auto5.7
Teleop9.8
End2.2
Second
14.30.3
14.514.8
Auto4.0
Teleop7.9
End2.4
red by 0.9
234
#14
13.50.1
13.914.0
Auto2.0
Teleop9.6
End1.8
Third
3824
#24
7.40.3
7.57.9
Auto3.5
Teleop1.9
End2.0
blue by 4.5
3140
#21
11.90.1
12.312.4
Auto4.0
Teleop7.1
End0.8