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Red33
95025.9
705011.5
815925.6
Blue31
94905.8
85007.7
944710.4
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31320204060801003331

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.60.6
11.812.4
Auto13.0
Teleop11.7
End1.0
red by 15.2
9447
#12
10.42.7
9.97.2
Auto3.5
Teleop5.9
End1.0
Second
7050
#17
11.50.6
9.49.9
Auto5.9
Teleop4.1
End1.5
red by 3.8
8500
#50
7.71.8
11.79.9
Auto3.2
Teleop4.1
End0.5
Third
9502
#51
5.90.6
6.77.3
Auto2.8
Teleop2.7
End0.4
Level
9490
#24
5.82.7
7.04.3
Auto3.0
Teleop2.8
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsEarned