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Red53
923119.4
94649.5
64157.5
Blue36
82209.6
752217.0
641717.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34430102030506070805336

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.40.9
16.417.4
Auto7.9
Teleop10.4
End1.1
red by 1.6
6417
#27
17.80.2
16.416.2
Auto7.0
Teleop9.4
End1.4
Second
9464
#31
9.51.5
10.111.5
Auto5.1
Teleop3.5
End0.9
blue by 7.6
7522
#18
17.00.2
12.011.9
Auto8.2
Teleop8.7
End0.1
Third
6415
#25
7.51.5
5.46.8
Auto2.4
Teleop4.3
End0.8
blue by 2.1
8220
#34
9.60.2
9.39.2
Auto6.0
Teleop2.3
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed