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Red58
808419.7
946914.7
95918.9
Blue52
767212.7
805811.0
641717.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4538102030506070805852

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8084
#10
19.70.9
18.619.5
Auto8.6
Teleop9.0
End2.1
red by 1.9
6417
#27
17.81.6
16.217.8
Auto7.0
Teleop9.4
End1.4
Second
9469
#14
14.71.2
13.815.0
Auto5.8
Teleop7.8
End1.1
red by 2.1
7672
#39
12.71.6
8.910.5
Auto6.1
Teleop5.3
End1.2
Third
9591
#47
8.91.2
7.78.9
Auto5.0
Teleop2.9
End1.0
blue by 2.0
8058
#15
11.01.1
10.011.2
Auto4.9
Teleop5.5
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsEarned11%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed27%Ensemble oddsMissed