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Red29
88004.2
94688.1
566512.6
Blue44
857028.0
698910.1
808414.4
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3140010205060702944

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5665
#19
12.60.8
12.011.2
Auto3.4
Teleop8.4
End0.9
blue by 15.4
28.01.0
13.013.9
Auto11.1
Teleop15.0
End1.9
Second
9468
#33
8.11.5
9.88.4
Auto2.3
Teleop4.9
End0.8
blue by 6.3
8084
#40
14.41.0
11.212.1
Auto6.0
Teleop6.3
End2.1
Third
8800
#22
4.20.8
7.97.1
Auto1.8
Teleop1.1
End1.3
blue by 5.9
6989
#24
10.11.0
11.312.2
Auto4.6
Teleop5.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed