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Red89
948337.0
908910.4
87995.7
Blue22
94798.1
755110.8
805610.8
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions264102060808922

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.04.7
14.018.7
Auto17.8
Teleop18.0
End1.3
red by 26.2
7551
#36
10.81.2
14.513.4
Auto4.2
Teleop4.8
End1.9
Second
9089
#25
10.44.7
4.28.9
Auto5.7
Teleop4.5
End0.2
blue by 0.4
8056
#28
10.81.5
10.69.1
Auto3.3
Teleop6.4
End1.1
Third
8799
#45
5.74.7
7.111.9
Auto2.9
Teleop1.8
End1.0
blue by 2.4
9479
#26
8.11.5
9.98.5
Auto2.8
Teleop4.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsEarned27%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed