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Red77
872524.8
94225.9
857028.0
Blue38
91329.3
81536.1
82617.3
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions471604060801007738

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8570
#2Sur
28.03.1
13.216.4
Auto11.1
Teleop15.0
End1.9
red by 18.7
9132
#32Sur
9.30.2
6.76.5
Auto4.3
Teleop3.8
End1.3
Second
8725
#12
24.82.1
20.522.6
Auto12.8
Teleop11.4
End0.6
red by 17.5
8261
#39
7.30.2
6.26.1
Auto2.1
Teleop4.3
End0.9
Third
9422
#38
5.93.1
5.18.3
Auto1.8
Teleop3.4
End0.8
blue by 0.1
8153
#34
6.10.2
5.55.4
Auto1.2
Teleop4.6
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsEarned13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed