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Red8
88004.2
90293.4
74664.9
Blue17
96257.0
95475.7
80799.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20220103040817

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7466
#42
4.91.4
7.05.5
Auto2.5
Teleop1.5
End0.9
blue by 4.3
8079
#14
9.21.8
6.75.0
Auto2.8
Teleop5.4
End0.9
Second
8800
#22
4.21.4
6.75.3
Auto1.8
Teleop1.1
End1.3
blue by 2.9
9625
#23
7.01.8
6.64.8
Auto2.9
Teleop3.1
End1.0
Third
9029
#48
3.41.4
5.23.8
Auto1.7
Teleop1.4
End0.3
blue by 2.2
9547
#13
5.71.1
5.44.4
Auto2.9
Teleop2.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsEarned