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Red76
80799.2
880630.4
763221.8
Blue61
694132.5
755110.8
698517.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66694060801007661

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.40.3
30.030.3
Auto13.1
Teleop14.3
End2.9
blue by 2.1
32.50.3
32.832.5
Auto13.2
Teleop18.7
End0.6
Second
7632
#30
21.80.3
21.421.7
Auto9.9
Teleop10.3
End1.7
red by 4.6
17.20.5
17.717.2
Auto5.4
Teleop8.4
End3.5
Third
8079
#14
9.20.4
8.69.0
Auto2.8
Teleop5.4
End0.9
blue by 1.7
7551
#36
10.80.3
11.210.8
Auto4.2
Teleop4.8
End1.9