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Red55
757612.9
902415.2
812714.4
Blue61
601415.1
808414.4
816916.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45530204060805561

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9024
#15
15.20.2
15.015.2
Auto6.2
Teleop7.9
End1.1
blue by 1.4
8169
#20
16.60.2
16.817.0
Auto7.9
Teleop7.4
End1.3
Second
8127
#27
14.40.2
14.314.4
Auto6.0
Teleop7.8
End0.7
blue by 0.7
15.10.2
15.315.5
Auto10.4
Teleop4.2
End0.6
Third
7576
#11
12.90.2
12.712.9
Auto5.7
Teleop6.6
End0.7
blue by 1.5
8084
#40
14.40.3
14.614.9
Auto6.0
Teleop6.3
End2.1