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Red95
461336.2
948337.0
805610.8
Blue54
694132.5
755110.8
698517.2
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93684060801001201409554

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.00.0
36.236.1
Auto17.8
Teleop18.0
End1.3
red by 4.5
32.50.6
33.833.1
Auto13.2
Teleop18.7
End0.6
Second
36.20.0
35.335.3
Auto14.9
Teleop19.9
End1.5
red by 19.0
17.20.8
18.918.1
Auto5.4
Teleop8.4
End3.5
Third
8056
#28
10.80.0
9.99.9
Auto3.3
Teleop6.4
End1.1
Level
7551
#36
10.80.6
12.111.5
Auto4.2
Teleop4.8
End1.9