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Red81
698517.2
755110.8
694132.5
Blue60
76369.6
566512.6
805424.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7347204060801001208160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.50.3
33.132.8
Auto13.2
Teleop18.7
End0.6
red by 7.9
24.50.3
24.324.5
Auto11.2
Teleop11.7
End1.6
Second
17.20.4
18.117.7
Auto5.4
Teleop8.4
End3.5
red by 4.7
5665
#19
12.60.3
12.312.6
Auto3.4
Teleop8.4
End0.9
Third
7551
#36
10.80.3
11.511.2
Auto4.2
Teleop4.8
End1.9
red by 1.2
7636
#17
9.60.2
9.49.6
Auto3.3
Teleop5.4
End0.9