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Red111
969413.1
948344.7
645933.5
Blue50
69408.7
757620.0
805422.1
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10652015011150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.70.2
44.244.5
Auto19.8
Teleop23.6
End1.3
red by 22.6
22.10.1
22.822.8
Auto9.6
Teleop11.1
End1.4
Second
33.50.2
33.133.3
Auto12.9
Teleop19.1
End1.5
red by 13.5
20.00.1
20.820.7
Auto7.2
Teleop11.8
End1.0
Third
9694
#24
13.10.3
12.512.8
Auto4.6
Teleop7.8
End0.6
red by 4.3
6940
#33
8.70.1
9.79.6
Auto0.4
Teleop7.5
End0.8