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Red38
641717.3
818210.2
81512.4
Blue64
923211.6
752223.3
80706.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373201020506070803864

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6417
#47
17.30.2
16.817.0
Auto5.7
Teleop9.6
End2.0
blue by 6.0
23.32.8
17.019.8
Auto9.7
Teleop13.3
End0.3
Second
8182
#49
10.20.3
10.310.6
Auto6.0
Teleop3.0
End1.2
blue by 1.4
9232
#13
11.62.8
5.48.2
Auto7.3
Teleop2.5
End1.8
Third
8151
#51
2.40.3
6.16.4
Auto2.1
Teleop-0.2
End0.5
blue by 3.8
8070
#43
6.13.8
7.211.0
Auto2.6
Teleop2.9
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed