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Qual 282024 Marmara Regional
Red64
81512.4
850012.2
645933.5
Blue73
815925.7
954511.1
902113.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions465310203040607080906473

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6459
#4
33.51.1
28.1→29.2
Auto12.9
Teleop19.1
End1.5
red by 7.8
8159
#9
25.70.6
24.1→24.7
Auto14.1
Teleop10.9
End0.8
Second
8500
#26
12.21.1
8.5→9.6
Auto5.0
Teleop6.6
End0.6
blue by 1.0
9021
#22
13.20.9
12.8→13.7
Auto4.5
Teleop7.6
End1.1
Third
8151
#51
2.41.9
5.8→7.6
Auto2.1
Teleop-0.2
End0.5
blue by 8.8
9545
#16
11.10.9
10.6→11.5
Auto5.2
Teleop5.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsEarned35%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed