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Red22
565510.8
96906.4
90287.0
Blue27
94403.6
91854.1
923211.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions311401020405060702227

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5655
#35
10.80.4
11.310.9
Auto7.0
Teleop2.9
End1.0
blue by 0.7
9232
#13
11.60.5
7.88.3
Auto7.3
Teleop2.5
End1.8
Second
9028
#46
7.00.4
6.96.5
Auto1.6
Teleop5.0
End0.3
red by 2.9
9185
#50
4.10.8
4.35.2
Auto1.3
Teleop2.3
End0.4
Third
9690
#34
6.40.2
7.47.1
Auto1.6
Teleop4.3
End0.5
red by 2.9
9440
#11
3.60.5
2.42.9
Auto2.4
Teleop0.3
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed