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Red25
96016.1
577311.1
90207.4
Blue14
92816.6
90746.1
91609.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31250204060802514

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5773
#17
11.10.8
10.29.4
Auto3.3
Teleop7.2
End0.6
red by 1.9
9160
#37
9.21.0
12.211.1
Auto5.5
Teleop2.9
End0.7
Second
9020
#38
7.40.5
7.16.6
Auto4.1
Teleop2.8
End0.6
red by 0.8
9281
#36
6.60.6
5.44.8
Auto3.5
Teleop2.3
End0.8
Third
9601
#18
6.10.8
9.79.0
Auto3.8
Teleop1.3
End1.0
Level
9074
#42
6.11.0
5.74.7
Auto2.2
Teleop2.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed