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Red49
969221.2
641717.3
805422.1
Blue54
87988.4
645933.5
81469.5
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70480204060801001204954

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.10.8
22.321.5
Auto9.6
Teleop11.1
End1.4
blue by 11.4
33.50.2
29.229.4
Auto12.9
Teleop19.1
End1.5
Second
9692
#12
21.20.8
21.620.8
Auto8.0
Teleop11.0
End2.2
red by 11.7
8146
#21
9.50.3
8.89.1
Auto4.8
Teleop3.5
End1.3
Third
6417
#47
17.30.8
16.816.0
Auto5.7
Teleop9.6
End2.0
red by 8.9
8798
#20
8.40.3
8.28.5
Auto2.2
Teleop5.8
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
49%Melody oddsMissed60%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
32%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsMissed