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Red47
96906.4
566518.4
818210.2
Blue8
69408.7
94418.0
94673.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3130010204050478

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.41.6
12.614.1
Auto5.3
Teleop12.0
End1.1
red by 9.7
6940
#33
8.72.8
9.66.9
Auto0.4
Teleop7.5
End0.8
Second
8182
#49
10.21.8
8.510.3
Auto6.0
Teleop3.0
End1.2
red by 2.2
9441
#41
8.01.7
8.06.4
Auto3.0
Teleop3.8
End1.2
Third
9690
#34
6.41.5
5.77.1
Auto1.6
Teleop4.3
End0.5
red by 2.7
9467
#28
3.72.7
3.76.4
Auto1.8
Teleop0.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed