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Red16
952311.7
74399.4
81512.4
Blue35
95839.1
818210.2
92816.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33280102040506070801635

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9523
#15
11.70.9
14.213.3
Auto3.8
Teleop7.4
End0.5
red by 1.5
8182
#49
10.20.1
11.411.3
Auto6.0
Teleop3.0
End1.2
Second
7439
#29
9.41.5
7.45.9
Auto3.7
Teleop5.0
End0.7
red by 0.3
9583
#39
9.10.0
9.59.5
Auto4.2
Teleop3.8
End1.1
Third
8151
#51
2.41.5
7.66.1
Auto2.1
Teleop-0.2
End0.5
blue by 4.2
9281
#36
6.60.0
4.84.7
Auto3.5
Teleop2.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed