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Red16
91609.2
87988.4
94733.4
Blue63
902113.2
752223.3
96906.4
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions235204060801001663

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9160
#37
9.21.0
11.110.2
Auto5.5
Teleop2.9
End0.7
blue by 14.1
23.30.7
21.420.7
Auto9.7
Teleop13.3
End0.3
Second
8798
#20
8.41.0
8.57.6
Auto2.2
Teleop5.8
End0.4
blue by 4.8
9021
#22
13.21.2
14.613.4
Auto4.5
Teleop7.6
End1.1
Third
9473
#52
3.41.0
4.94.0
Auto1.9
Teleop0.1
End1.4
blue by 3.0
9690
#34
6.40.7
7.56.8
Auto1.6
Teleop4.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed