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Red64
753926.3
74399.4
850012.2
Blue33
90295.0
69408.7
577311.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions462104060801001206433

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.31.0
22.623.6
Auto12.4
Teleop12.5
End1.3
red by 15.2
5773
#17
11.11.2
8.59.7
Auto3.3
Teleop7.2
End0.6
Second
8500
#26
12.21.0
10.311.3
Auto5.0
Teleop6.6
End0.6
red by 3.4
6940
#33
8.71.2
8.29.4
Auto0.4
Teleop7.5
End0.8
Third
7439
#29
9.41.7
5.97.6
Auto3.7
Teleop5.0
End0.7
red by 4.5
9029
#44
5.00.7
5.56.2
Auto1.4
Teleop3.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsEarned6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed