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Red59
752223.3
90779.4
95839.1
Blue52
815925.7
72927.4
805422.1
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions386902060801001201401605952

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.30.0
17.017.0
Auto9.7
Teleop13.3
End0.3
blue by 2.5
25.70.6
25.625.0
Auto14.1
Teleop10.9
End0.8
Second
9077
#32
9.40.0
11.211.1
Auto1.6
Teleop5.8
End2.0
blue by 12.8
22.10.6
24.523.9
Auto9.6
Teleop11.1
End1.4
Third
9583
#39
9.10.0
10.110.1
Auto4.2
Teleop3.8
End1.1
red by 1.7
7292
#25
7.40.8
8.88.0
Auto4.2
Teleop2.4
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed60%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed25%Ensemble oddsMissed