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Red40
602413.8
923211.6
87988.4
Blue49
72927.4
96016.1
566518.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3334010204050604049

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6024
#30
13.80.7
13.013.7
Auto7.8
Teleop5.5
End0.5
blue by 4.7
18.40.4
17.216.8
Auto5.3
Teleop12.0
End1.1
Second
9232
#13
11.60.7
9.39.9
Auto7.3
Teleop2.5
End1.8
red by 4.2
7292
#25
7.40.7
8.57.9
Auto4.2
Teleop2.4
End0.8
Third
8798
#20
8.41.1
7.68.7
Auto2.2
Teleop5.8
End0.4
red by 2.3
9601
#18
6.10.7
5.14.5
Auto3.8
Teleop1.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsEarned