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Red40
698913.1
566518.4
87988.4
Blue15
90746.1
81512.4
95839.1
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions481704060801004015

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.40.2
16.816.6
Auto5.3
Teleop12.0
End1.1
red by 9.3
9583
#39
9.10.3
9.89.5
Auto4.2
Teleop3.8
End1.1
Second
6989
#23
13.10.2
13.913.7
Auto5.2
Teleop7.4
End0.5
red by 7.0
9074
#42
6.10.4
7.16.7
Auto2.2
Teleop2.9
End1.0
Third
8798
#20
8.40.4
8.78.3
Auto2.2
Teleop5.8
End0.4
red by 6.1
8151
#51
2.40.4
2.21.8
Auto2.1
Teleop-0.2
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
41%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed