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Red49
94733.4
815925.7
641717.3
Blue92
757620.0
955512.5
948344.7
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4280020601001201404992

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.70.4
23.323.7
Auto14.1
Teleop10.9
End0.8
blue by 18.9
44.71.6
40.241.8
Auto19.8
Teleop23.6
End1.3
Second
6417
#47
17.30.4
15.916.3
Auto5.7
Teleop9.6
End2.0
blue by 2.7
20.01.6
18.420.0
Auto7.2
Teleop11.8
End1.0
Third
9473
#52
3.40.7
3.44.0
Auto1.9
Teleop0.1
End1.4
blue by 9.0
9555
#19
12.52.5
9.011.6
Auto4.4
Teleop7.5
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed65%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsMissed