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Red33
72927.4
577311.1
565510.8
Blue34
902113.2
641717.3
952311.7
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28500204060801003334

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5773
#17
11.10.5
10.611.1
Auto3.3
Teleop7.2
End0.6
blue by 6.2
6417
#47
17.30.6
16.315.7
Auto5.7
Teleop9.6
End2.0
Second
5655
#35
10.80.5
10.310.8
Auto7.0
Teleop2.9
End1.0
blue by 2.4
9021
#22
13.20.8
14.113.2
Auto4.5
Teleop7.6
End1.1
Third
7292
#25
7.40.5
6.97.4
Auto4.2
Teleop2.4
End0.8
blue by 4.3
9523
#15
11.70.6
12.211.7
Auto3.8
Teleop7.4
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed