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Red54
94673.7
687416.6
923211.6
Blue38
87988.4
80706.1
90207.4
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions322301020405060705438

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6874
#10
16.60.6
15.215.8
Auto3.5
Teleop12.5
End0.6
red by 8.2
8798
#20
8.40.1
8.38.4
Auto2.2
Teleop5.8
End0.4
Second
9232
#13
11.60.6
9.910.5
Auto7.3
Teleop2.5
End1.8
red by 4.1
9020
#38
7.40.1
7.77.8
Auto4.1
Teleop2.8
End0.6
Third
9467
#28
3.70.9
2.83.7
Auto1.8
Teleop0.8
End1.2
blue by 2.4
8070
#43
6.10.1
6.06.1
Auto2.6
Teleop2.9
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsEarned