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Red37
69408.7
81668.1
85617.0
Blue16
96016.1
95839.1
94733.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions262201030405060703716

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6940
#33
8.70.8
8.99.7
Auto0.4
Teleop7.5
End0.8
blue by 0.4
9583
#39
9.10.4
9.59.1
Auto4.2
Teleop3.8
End1.1
Second
8166
#14
8.10.8
7.78.6
Auto2.8
Teleop4.4
End0.9
red by 2.0
9601
#18
6.10.6
6.76.1
Auto3.8
Teleop1.3
End1.0
Third
8561
#27
7.00.6
6.87.3
Auto3.6
Teleop2.0
End1.5
red by 3.6
9473
#52
3.40.6
4.03.4
Auto1.9
Teleop0.1
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed4%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed