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Red129
969413.1
948344.7
645933.5
Blue91
641717.3
815925.7
566518.4
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1006120408012014016012991

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.70.8
42.943.7
Auto19.8
Teleop23.6
End1.3
red by 18.9
25.70.4
25.125.5
Auto14.1
Teleop10.9
End0.8
Second
33.50.8
31.832.6
Auto12.9
Teleop19.1
End1.5
red by 15.1
18.40.4
17.818.2
Auto5.3
Teleop12.0
End1.1
Third
9694
#24
13.11.1
10.811.8
Auto4.6
Teleop7.8
End0.6
blue by 4.2
6417
#47
17.30.4
16.617.0
Auto5.7
Teleop9.6
End2.0