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Red90
878013.2
861328.3
694129.6
Blue59
812711.4
763222.4
880623.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions816520401001201409059

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.60.4
29.629.9
Auto10.8
Teleop17.6
End1.2
red by 5.7
23.80.7
24.824.1
Auto11.5
Teleop9.3
End3.1
Second
28.30.4
28.228.7
Auto12.5
Teleop13.5
End2.3
red by 5.9
22.40.7
23.422.7
Auto9.3
Teleop10.9
End2.2
Third
8780
#29
13.20.4
13.213.6
Auto5.4
Teleop7.5
End0.4
red by 1.9
8127
#23
11.40.7
12.311.6
Auto4.0
Teleop6.9
End0.4