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Red46
850011.3
880623.8
85617.6
Blue30
878013.2
76838.5
95107.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions312920253540454630

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.80.2
12.912.7
Auto11.5
Teleop9.3
End3.1
red by 10.6
8780
#29
13.20.7
8.67.8
Auto5.4
Teleop7.5
End0.4
Second
8500
#28
11.30.2
6.15.9
Auto4.5
Teleop5.5
End1.3
red by 2.9
7683
#24
8.50.7
10.09.2
Auto4.8
Teleop3.1
End0.6
Third
7.60.2
8.88.6
Auto2.6
Teleop3.7
End1.3
red by 0.4
9510
#39
7.20.7
8.27.4
Auto3.9
Teleop3.0
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsEarned9%Ensemble oddsMissed