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Red28
92324.2
643614.1
90262.3
Blue27
78408.1
95107.2
900110.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions342701020405060702827

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6436
#16
14.11.2
15.714.5
Auto3.5
Teleop9.4
End1.2
red by 3.6
9001
#32
10.50.0
8.68.6
Auto2.6
Teleop5.9
End2.0
Second
9232
#19
4.21.2
8.87.5
Auto2.1
Teleop0.6
End1.5
blue by 3.9
7840
#38
8.10.0
11.511.5
Auto3.0
Teleop3.7
End1.5
Third
9026
#34
2.31.2
5.64.3
Auto2.2
Teleop-0.2
End0.2
blue by 4.9
9510
#39
7.20.0
5.15.1
Auto3.9
Teleop3.0
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed