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Red43
744413.7
74659.5
88637.0
Blue19
91249.8
94401.8
60389.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions342304060804319

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
13.71.3
11.212.5
Auto6.4
Teleop6.1
End1.2
red by 3.9
9124
#18
9.81.0
8.57.5
Auto3.9
Teleop5.1
End0.9
Second
7465
#15
9.51.3
10.211.5
Auto4.9
Teleop3.3
End1.4
blue by 0.2
6038
#37
9.71.0
7.66.6
Auto5.4
Teleop3.3
End0.9
Third
8863
#42
7.01.3
8.29.5
Auto1.8
Teleop4.5
End0.7
red by 5.2
9440
#51
1.81.0
6.04.9
Auto1.4
Teleop-0.3
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed