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Red13
60389.7
77585.5
91559.0
Blue42
92472.3
774211.9
643614.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3033102040501342

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6038
#37
9.71.6
6.65.0
Auto5.4
Teleop3.3
End0.9
blue by 4.4
6436
#16
14.10.1
14.514.6
Auto3.5
Teleop9.4
End1.2
Second
9155
#35
9.01.6
8.87.2
Auto2.4
Teleop5.4
End1.2
blue by 2.9
7742
#27
11.90.1
8.88.9
Auto5.2
Teleop5.6
End1.2
Third
7758
#49
5.51.6
11.910.3
Auto1.7
Teleop3.1
End0.7
red by 3.2
9247
#50
2.30.1
5.96.0
Auto1.4
Teleop0.7
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed