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Red45
290518.3
76838.5
902412.6
Blue85
92324.2
753620.5
763222.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36480102030406070804585

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.31.2
16.517.7
Auto8.7
Teleop7.8
End1.8
blue by 4.1
22.41.3
20.421.7
Auto9.3
Teleop10.9
End2.2
Second
9024
#31
12.61.2
10.411.6
Auto5.0
Teleop6.0
End1.6
blue by 7.9
20.51.3
16.718.0
Auto8.0
Teleop11.5
End1.1
Third
7683
#24
8.51.2
7.08.2
Auto4.8
Teleop3.1
End0.6
red by 4.3
9232
#19
4.21.4
5.06.4
Auto2.1
Teleop0.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed