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Red37
85617.6
49728.2
91249.8
Blue24
90439.7
643614.1
78408.1
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions294201020506070803724

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9124
#18
9.80.7
10.29.5
Auto3.9
Teleop5.1
End0.9
blue by 4.2
6436
#16
14.11.7
14.813.2
Auto3.5
Teleop9.4
End1.2
Second
4972
#41
8.20.7
8.88.1
Auto3.7
Teleop3.8
End0.7
blue by 1.5
9043
#25
9.71.7
12.510.8
Auto5.3
Teleop3.1
End1.3
Third
7.60.7
8.78.0
Auto2.6
Teleop3.7
End1.3
blue by 0.5
7840
#38
8.11.7
8.87.1
Auto3.0
Teleop3.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsEarned7%Ensemble oddsMissed