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Red35
290518.3
92324.2
74659.5
Blue77
85848.2
812711.4
694129.6
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35470204060801003577

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.30.8
17.716.9
Auto8.7
Teleop7.8
End1.8
blue by 11.3
29.62.2
26.528.7
Auto10.8
Teleop17.6
End1.2
Second
7465
#15
9.50.8
8.98.1
Auto4.9
Teleop3.3
End1.4
blue by 1.9
8127
#23
11.42.2
8.510.7
Auto4.0
Teleop6.9
End0.4
Third
9232
#19
4.20.8
6.45.6
Auto2.1
Teleop0.6
End1.5
blue by 4.0
8584
#40
8.22.2
5.98.1
Auto3.7
Teleop4.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsEarned5%Ensemble oddsMissed