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Red70
878013.2
861328.3
694129.6
Blue60
880623.8
763222.4
812711.4
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions816620401001201407060

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.60.0
29.629.6
Auto10.8
Teleop17.6
End1.2
red by 5.7
23.80.3
25.124.7
Auto11.5
Teleop9.3
End3.1
Second
28.30.0
28.328.2
Auto12.5
Teleop13.5
End2.3
red by 5.9
22.40.3
23.623.3
Auto9.3
Teleop10.9
End2.2
Third
8780
#29
13.20.0
13.213.2
Auto5.4
Teleop7.5
End0.4
red by 1.9
8127
#23
11.40.3
12.612.2
Auto4.0
Teleop6.9
End0.4