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Red76
70889.7
406330.7
420628.5
Blue65
367626.0
913623.8
852813.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75692040601001201407665

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.70.2
30.130.3
Auto12.7
Teleop15.7
End2.3
red by 4.7
26.00.1
26.126.0
Auto12.6
Teleop11.6
End1.9
Second
28.50.2
27.928.1
Auto9.7
Teleop17.5
End1.3
red by 4.7
23.80.1
23.823.8
Auto6.5
Teleop15.2
End2.1
Third
7088
#35
9.70.2
9.09.2
Auto3.7
Teleop4.0
End2.0
blue by 3.6
8528
#18
13.20.1
13.213.2
Auto8.0
Teleop3.9
End1.3