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Red51
116416.1
420628.5
27899.5
Blue35
676813.2
913623.8
26579.7
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3447102030406070805135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.50.9
15.416.2
Auto9.7
Teleop17.5
End1.3
red by 4.7
23.80.4
19.319.0
Auto6.5
Teleop15.2
End2.1
Second
16.11.0
9.610.5
Auto4.5
Teleop9.7
End1.9
red by 2.9
6768
#28
13.20.4
12.612.2
Auto6.1
Teleop5.7
End1.4
Third
2789
#16
9.50.9
7.78.6
Auto5.4
Teleop3.3
End0.8
blue by 0.3
2657
#24
9.70.4
8.98.5
Auto5.2
Teleop3.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed