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Red50
69748.5
420628.5
852813.2
Blue16
71257.1
754012.1
97863.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3721060801005016

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.51.2
16.217.5
Auto9.7
Teleop17.5
End1.3
red by 16.5
12.10.3
11.311.0
Auto5.5
Teleop5.2
End1.3
Second
8528
#18
13.21.2
10.411.6
Auto8.0
Teleop3.9
End1.3
red by 6.1
7125
#34
7.10.3
7.77.4
Auto3.8
Teleop3.0
End0.3
Third
6974
#25
8.51.2
5.16.3
Auto2.7
Teleop5.1
End0.7
red by 4.8
9786
#36
3.70.3
2.21.8
Auto1.4
Teleop1.9
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed